At this time of year, we start paying close attention to the shit happening in the Caribbean and the Atlantic. Invest 93L continues to show signs of organization. The National Hurricane Center has highlighted the development area with a 70% chance in the next 48 hours, then a 90% chance in the next seven days, as of the NHC’s 8 a.m. ET update Saturday. Please note that the video at the top of this story was recorded ahead of that update.
Long-range models do show further development as it moves northward in the next several days over the eastern portion of the Gulf of Mexico. Atmospheric conditions look conducive for further tropical development.
Tropical Models are not in agreement as to where the center of this potential tropical system will go due to the fact that a defined center is not there. As we go through the weekend, a tropical depression is looking more probable, but whether it strengthens into a tropical storm or stronger will be determined as we get closer to Sunday or Monday.
As of now, the Big Bend area and Florida Gulf Coast could see the greatest impacts later this week.
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